Euractiv: If peace is not reached, 19 million people

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The UN presented a bleak picture of the next decade in a report, highlighting a number of key challenges facing the sector, including climate change and population growth.

The price of wheat will rise sharply by 34% if exports from Russia are halved and will increase by 19% if exports from Ukraine are completely reduced, according to the latest forecasts of the world’s leading food and development organizations.

The latest report “Agricultural Outlook”, prepared by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) together with the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), focused on the medium-term outlook for agricultural commodity markets.

The report estimated that equilibrium prices for wheat are expected to rise by 19% above pre-conflict levels if Ukraine loses all export capacity. At the same time, if exports from Russia are halved, wheat prices are expected to explode by 34%.

“Without peace in Ukraine, the food security challenges facing the world will continue to worsen, especially for the world’s poorest,” OECD Secretary-General Mathias Cormann was quoted as saying by Euractiv.

The outlook is bleak, with the deaths of millions more blamed on Russia and its revisionist lusts.

“It is estimated that another 19 million people could face chronic malnutrition worldwide in 2023, if the reduction in world food production and food supply in major exporting countries, including Russia and Ukraine, will result in availability less food that will hit the world, ”he said.

Acute food insecurity is likely to deteriorate further in 20 countries in the coming months, according to a new report by the world’s leading food organizations, which warns that the current situation is already worse than during the 2011 Arab Spring.

The report estimated that average agricultural productivity must increase by 28% over the next decade for the world to reach the goal of sustainable development (SDG 2) on zero hunger. This is more than three times the increase in productivity over the last decade