Vladimir Putin has a big problem with growth

Vladimir Putin has a big problem with growth

The decree recently announced by President Vladimir Putin, which promises an increase in the military personnel of the Russian armed forces to over 1.15 million people, could be extremely difficult to put into practice. In addition, there are little chances that Russia’s plan to expand its armed forces will have any impact on the war in Ukraine, writes 19fortyfive.

Putin’s army has the biggest obstacle to overcome

Russian President Vladimir Putin has issued a decree to increase the strength of the Russian armed forces by 137,000 troops from 1,013,628 to 1,150,628 effective January 1, 2023, in an attempt to increase his control over the southern regions – eastern Ukraine. In addition, it appears that Moscow is preparing for a war of attrition in Ukraine.

An impossible mission for Moscow

The decree did not specify how it intended to achieve this, but appeared to confirm reports in the Western media that Russia had lost a substantial number of people, dead or wounded, since the start of the invasion of Ukraine. According to Pentagon estimates, it would be about 80,000 Russian soldiers.

Without a clear plan, Putin’s decree could prove a mission impossible for government officials in Moscow, according to 19fortyfive.com

It will not bring significant progress

According to some UK officials, this decree is highly unlikely to bring significant progress.

In a daily intelligence update published by the UK Ministry of Defence, President Putin’s decree is viewed with skepticism, with the Kremlin’s plans to increase its army being deemed “unclear”. Putin may intend to recruit more volunteer soldiers on a “contract” basis or increase annual targets for the draft.

Putin is tripping over legislation

In their opinion, “Under existing law, the decree is unlikely to make substantial progress towards increasing Russia’s combat power in Ukraine,” British officials believe. They argue that recruits are not technically required to serve outside Russian territory unless they have at least four months of training.
If this may become a test for the Kremlin, no one can say for sure that Putin will not declare Ukraine “Russian territory” in order to force recruitment.

A simpler solution for the Kremlin would be to find a way for them to undergo the necessary training, and possibly find a way to expedite that training so that the troops can be deployed before the end of the year.

Why are Putin’s soldiers afraid?

As Putin prepares to build up his army, hoping it will increase the chances of victory in Ukraine, Russian soldiers already serving outside Russia’s borders, in places other than Ukraine, fear returning home because they risk be sent to the front in Ukraine.

So, about 1,000 Russian soldiers are currently serving in Kazakhstan, and recent reports have revealed that many of them would not want to return home because of the possibility of being deployed in a conflict that could bring their end.